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Brand Valuation: Định giá thương hiệu

Có rất nhiều nghiên cứu để đo lường phần đóng góp của thương hiệu vào giá trị của cổ đông, trong đó thành công nhất phải kể đến cuộc nghiên cứu “Những thương hiệu mạnh nhất toàn cầu” của Interbrand. Cuộc nghiên cứu đã rút ra kết luận: trung bình, thương hiệu đóng góp một phần ba vào giá trị cổ phiếu. Ở nhiều trường hợp, thương hiệu có thể nắm hơn 70% giá trị cổ phiếu.

Những phương pháp định giá thương hiệu

 

Khi định giá doanh nghiệp cần gộp tất cả tài sản của doanh nghiệp đó, kể cả thương hiệu. Song chỉ đến cuối thập kỉ 80, người ta mới đưa ra những phương pháp định giá giúp giá trị đặc biệt của thương hiệu có quyền được hiểu và đánh giá một cách đúng đắn. Nếu như trước đây, ý tưởng tách biệt thương hiệu để đo lường, đánh giá khiến nhiều người nghi ngờ, không đồng tình thì nay việc đề ra một phương pháp chứng thực nhận được sự ủng hộ và hưởng ứng rộng rãi, nhiệt tình của cả hai phía: marketing và tài chính. Để bảo đảm một loạt yêu cầu của các tiêu chuẩn kế toán, các vấn đề chuyển giá và thực hiện hợp đồng licensing; tiến hành liên kết (merger) và sát nhập (acquisition) v.v… đã khiến định giá thương hiệu trở thành một công việc vô cùng quan trọng trong các họat động kinh doanh ngày nay.

 

Có rất nhiều phương pháp được sử dụng để đánh giá thành tích và giá trị của thương hiệu nhưng phổ biến vẫn là nghiên cứu ước lượng tài sản thương hiệu hoặc thuần khiết sử dụng các chỉ số tài chính.

 

Nếu chỉ sử dụng một trong hai cách trên, việc đánh giá giá trị của thương hiệu không thể trọn vẹn và chính xác vì thiếu một trong hai yếu tố hoặc là của tài chính, hoặc là của marketing. Điều đó buộc người ta phải nghĩ ra một cách có thể kết hợp cả hai ưu điểm trên, gọi là phương pháp kinh tế. Phương pháp này giúp tính ra giá trị của thương hiệu không chỉ phù hợp với các nguyên lí tài chính hiện nay mà còn có thể dùng nó để so sánh với tất cả tài sản khác của doanh nghiệp. Vì vậy giờ đây nó được đề cập và chấp nhận rộng rãi nhất. Thương hiệu được định giá bằng cách xác định thu nhập trong tương lai có thể kiếm được nhờ thương hiệu, sau đó qui số tiền này về giá trị hiện tại bằng cách sử dụng lãi suất chiết khấu (lãi suất chiết khấu phản ánh mức độ rủi ro của số tiền lãi trong tương lai).  Phương pháp “kinh tế” do Interbrand đề ra năm 1988 và đã trở thành hệ phương pháp  được thừa nhận rộng rãi nhất, được áp dụng ở hơn 3.500 cuộc định giá trên toàn thế giới. Phương pháp này dựa trên những nguyên tắc cơ bản của marketing và tài chính.

 

Ở khía cạnh marketing, người ta quan tâm đến khả năng tạo ra lợi nhuận của thương hiệu đối với các hoạt động kinh doanh. Đầu tiên thương hiệu giúp khơi dậy nhu cầu cần mua ở người tiêu dùng – người tiêu dùng ở đây có thể là cá nhân hoặc doanh nghiệp, tập đoàn. Nhu cầu của người tiêu dùng thể hiện thông qua doanh thu dựa trên số lượng mua, giá cả và mức độ thường xuyên. Thứ hai, thương hiệu thu hút được lòng trung thành của người tiêu dùng trong dài hạn.

 

Ở khía cạnh tài chính, giá trị thương hiệu chính là giá trị qui về hiện tại của thu nhập mong đợi trong tương lai có được nhờ thương hiệu. Theo lí thuyết tài chính quốc tế, dòng tiền mặt được chiết khấu (discounted cash flow – DCF) và giá trị hiện tại ròng (net present value – NPV) của thu nhập trong tương lai là những khái niệm thích hợp để đo lường giá trị của bất kì loại tài sản nào. Kể cả những tài sản hữu hình vốn được định giá theo chi phí thì nay được định giá một cách chuyên môn hơn theo DCF. Phương pháp qui về giá trị hiện tại ròng lúc đầu dựa trên dòng tiền mặt được chiết khấu nhưng ngày nay nhiều công ty xem nó như mô hình lợi nhuận kinh tế dùng để dự báo tài chính. Theo định nghĩa, cả thuật ngữ DCF lẫn lợi nhuận khi qui về giá trị hiện tại ròng sẽ có giá trị tương tự nhau.

 

Sau đây là 5 bước cần xem xét để định giá một thương hiệu:

 

  1. Phân khúc thị trường – Thương hiệu ảnh hưởng đến sự lựa chọn của người tiêu dùng, song có sự khác biệt ở mỗi thị trường. Thị trường của thương hiệu được chia thành nhiều nhóm khách hàng tương đối đồng nhất với nhau theo những tiêu chuẩn như sản phẩm hay dịch vụ, kênh phân phối, bằng sáng chế, khu vực địa lí, khách hàng hiện tại và khách hàng mới v.v… Thương hiệu được định giá theo mỗi phân khúc và tổng giá trị của các phân khúc sẽ cấu thành tổng giá trị của thương hiệu.

 

  1. Phân tích tài chính – Tiếp theo bước 1, ở mỗi phân khúc, xác định và dự báo doanh thu lẫn thu nhập từ các tài sản vô hình có được nhờ thương hiệu. Khoản thu nhập vô hình bằng doanh thu thương hiệu trừ đi chi phí họat động, các khoản thuế liên quan và lãi vay. Có thể nói khái niệm này cũng giống như khái niệm lợi nhuận về mặt kinh tế.

 

  1. Phân tích nhu cầu – Chỉ số “ Vai trò của xây dựng thương hiệu” thể hiện phần trăm đóng góp của thu nhập vô hình có được nhờ thương hiệu. Nó được tính bằng cách xác định những nhánh nhu cầu khác nhau của việc kinh doanh dưới cùng thương hiệu, sau đó đo lường mức độ ảnh hưởng của thương hiệu. Thu nhập của thương hiệu bằng chỉ số “Vai trò của xây dựng thương hiệu” nhân với thu nhập vô hình.

 

  1. Tiêu chuẩn cạnh tranh – Phân tích những thế mạnh và điểm yếu của thương hiệu nhằm xác định Lãi suất khấu trừ thương hiệu (lãi suất này phản ánh độ rủi ro của thu nhập kỳ vọng trong tương lai có được nhờ thương hiệu), được đo lường bởi “Điểm số sức mạnh thương hiệu”. Để có được kết quả này, người ta kết hợp xem xét các tiêu chuẩn cạnh tranh và tập hợp kết quả đánh giá về thị trường của thương hiệu, mức độ ổn định, vị trí lãnh đạo, xu hướng phát triển, hỗ trợ, độ phủ thị trường v.v…

 

  1. Tính toán giá trị thương hiệu – Giá trị thương hiệu là giá trị hiện thời (NPV) của thu nhập dự đoán có được nhờ thương hiệu, bị khấu trừ bởi Tỉ lệ khấu trừ thương hiệu. Kết quả NPV không chỉ rút ra ở thời điểm dự đoán mà còn ở thời điểm xa hơn nữa để có thể phản ánh khả năng tạo ra nguồn thu nhập liên tục trong tương lai của thương hiệu.

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